Friday, February 18, 2005

Who gets what?

The votes have been counted (behind closed doors), with results remarkably exactly what the Americans hoped for (Shia didn't do quite as well as expected but not so badly as to cause outrage; the Kurds did a little better than expected; Allawi was not completely wiped out despite no one voting for him, whoops, I mean, despite weak support) so now the carve-up begins (who are we kidding? The fix has been in for a long time! The deal is a Shia-Kurd government (the Kurds get a Kurdistan in all but name), secular but under Sharia law, some sops for the Sunni but they are basically shafted, American bases in perpetuity and Exxon's dreams come true: they get the oil. It's important to understand that while the other nations of the Middle East have American partners, they retain control of their oil. Iraq will be different. America will control the black stuff. It's worth $300 billion to fuck China out of it. It's absolutely no coincidence that China's signing a big energy deal with Iran and American sabre-rattling have happened at around the same time)/

This excellent roundup gets the issues straight. I noted that buried in there was this: "Baghdad sources tell Asia Times Online that the AMS [Sunni leaders] would even issue a fatwa (religious edict) calling for the end of the resistance if the new government sets a date for US withdrawal in writing - with the United Nations as a watchdog."

What? You're telling me that if the Yankees fuck off home, the insurgency is over? Wouldn't that mean, though, that Dubya and his cronies have lied to us and that the fight is not with "turrists" but with a resistance that Iraqis to control Iraq?

Oh.

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